Research

Research

Studies and trade write-ups from our own data, plus guides on trading volatility.

VIX Trading

VVIX Trading: How to Use the Volatility of Volatility Index

VVIX measures the implied volatility of VIX options, representing the market's expectation of how much the VIX itself will move. Normal VVIX range is 80-100;…

Volatility Indicators

Keltner Channels vs Bollinger Bands: Which Is Better for Volatility Trading

Keltner Channels use ATR (smoothed volatility) while Bollinger Bands use standard deviation (reactive volatility). The ATR-based Keltner envelope changes gradually and excels at trend identification;…

Volatility Regimes

Volatility Regime Detection: From Simple Rules to Machine Learning

Volatility regime detection classifies markets into distinct states (low, normal, elevated, crisis) so traders can adapt strategy, position sizing, and risk parameters. Simple threshold rules…

Day Trading

Opening Range Volatility Breakout: Strategy, Backtest, and Rules

The opening range breakout (ORB) strategy trades the first directional move out of the high/low range established in the first 5, 15, or 30 minutes…

Volatility Indicators

TTM Squeeze Indicator: Setup, Signals, and Trading Rules

The TTM Squeeze fires when Bollinger Bands (20, 2.0) contract inside Keltner Channels (20, 1.5 ATR), signaling that volatility compression is about to resolve into…

Volatility Trading Strategies

Straddle vs Strangle: Which Volatility Strategy to Use and When

A straddle buys ATM calls and puts at the same strike, while a strangle buys OTM options at different strikes. The straddle costs more ($8-$12…

Futures Trading

NQ Futures Volatility: Why Nasdaq Futures Move More and How to Trade It

NQ futures move 1.3-1.5x the percentage range of ES due to tech concentration (top 7 stocks = ~50% of Nasdaq-100), higher beta, and speculative flow.…

Risk Management

Hedging with Volatility: VIX Calls, Puts, and Cost-Effective Strategies

VIX calls cost 1-2% of portfolio annually and returned 300-500% during March 2020. SPY puts cost 2-3% but protect against slow declines. This guide covers…

Volatility Products

VIX ETFs Explained: UVXY, VXX, SVXY, SVIX, and How They Work

VIX ETFs track VIX futures, not VIX spot, and the contango roll cost (~5% per month) drives 60-80% annual decay for long products like UVXY…

Volatility Indicators

ATR (Average True Range): The Volatility Indicator Every Trader Needs

Average True Range measures the magnitude of price movement per bar, including gaps. True Range = max(H-L, |H-PrevClose|, |L-PrevClose|), then averaged over 14 periods. This…

Volatility Regimes

Volatility Regimes Explained: How to Identify and Trade Each Phase

The market cycles through four volatility regimes — Low (VIX < 15), Normal (VIX 15-20), Elevated (VIX 20-30), and Crisis (VIX > 30) — each…

Options & Volatility

Expected Move in Options: How to Calculate and Trade It

The expected move is the options-implied price range derived from implied volatility, representing the 1-standard-deviation zone where a stock has a 68% probability of staying.…

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